I just solved Global Warming

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Post by gideon_thorne »

Fiffergrund wrote:
I could whip up an angle relevant to gaming if you'd like.

Speaking off, go poke around in those C&C related threads in a couple of these other topics. Your more adept at explaining C&C rules rationale than most anyone. ^_~`
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Post by gideon_thorne »

Troll Lord wrote:
If Gore and crew would take a little bit more realistic approach to the debate they would gain more ground. You can't convince people to change by making their lives more inconvenient and hard. You have to make their lives better. So, Gore and crew could put several hundreds of millions into creating companies that can: make safe energy, sell it cheap, and charge little for it. That would win the day in one fell swoop.

Companies keep trying too. Trouble is, they keep getting squashed by regulations that serve to keep money going into the pockets of big oil. OPEC and similar companies being the people who have enough funding to bribe congressmen into making sure the status remains quo.

Those who try and change things are dismissed as 'radical liberals'. Or they get their reputations ruined, or disappear. ^_~`

*chuckles* Its hard to apply reason to tactics like 'its the fault of the liberals or the imaginary commies who want to take over the world.'. Such logic is near impenetrable to reason.
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Post by gideon_thorne »

Metathiax wrote:
I have never heard of such a flipping of the globe although magnetic poles reversals are supposed to happen once every 250 000 years in average...

You need to pay attention to more 'great flood' theories then. ^_^Part of the theorm was, due to massive ice build up during one of the last ice ages, the weight caused the planet to tilt. And at the same time chucked a large mass of ice into the ocean which presumably kicked up a huge wave that engulfed some major land masses.

Last time this was supposed to have happened was about 50,000 years ago, bout the time of the touted great flood.

Various geological studies are used to support this theorem. I just dont happen to have any online sources. Its all in books in my room. ^_^
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Post by Fiffergrund »

Metathiax wrote:
Oh come on, junksite.com would be a far better name for this site. These guys actually use Fox News as an "impartial" source of information! I think I'm going to shed a tear now. If only those guys were as skeptical about the war in Iraq and the rest of the Bush's administration war mongering policies, this would be heaven... How can you second guess every evidence brought to you and yet take what is written there for granted? Just who the hell is this Steven Milloy? Answer : the real life incarnation of the main character of Thank You For Smoking. This guy is like a walking antithesis of credibility. I'm sorry Fiff but you have seriously dropped the ball on this one...

The guy has sources and reasoned arguments. Lots of them. And they are backed up. He provides all of his sources and all of his conclusions are on the money. Refute his arguments if you would - but if you think you'll win the debate simply by saying "Fox News" and "warmongering", I'm a tougher nut to crack than that.

(Fox News is hardly as error prone as CBS or the NY Times, based on recent track records. They have several opinion shows, but CNN and MSNBC do as well. It just so happens the opinion shows slant right, while the opinion shows of the others slant left. The actual news coverage, during the day and in the early evening, is right down the middle. However, I can see why that's terribly inconvenient for those looking to win arguments just by shouting FOX NEWS at the top of their lungs.)

If you can deal with the substance of the arguments posted on that site, do so. If you can't, that's fine too. *shrug* Disparaging the source is pretty much a cheap way to avoid addressing the substance.

How can I possibly drop the ball when it's in your court?

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Post by gideon_thorne »

*chuckles* Ok, I wont pick on Faux News if the missused terms, liberal, left, right, conservative and all other bolluxed narrow focused catch phrases are also not used.
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Post by Metathiax »

Quote:
I'm a tougher nut to crack than that

I didn't expect nothing less from you Fiff...
Quote:
(Fox News is hardly as error prone as CBS or the NY Times, based on recent track records. They have several opinion shows, but CNN and MSNBC do as well. It just so happens the opinion shows slant right, while the opinion shows of the others slant left.

A slant right!? Talk about an understatement. I just can't believe your media controling agencies who are scandalized by the slightless things allow such antijournalists to keep their shows on the air. Talk about journalistic ethics...
Quote:
The guy has sources and reasoned arguments. Lots of them. And they are backed up. He provides all of his sources and all of his conclusions are on the money. Refute his arguments if you would - but if you think you'll win the debate simply by saying "Fox News" and "warmongering",

My main gripe doesn't lie with Fox News though, the guy who runs junkscience.com, Steven Milloy, (I feel dirty just by writing his name again) has absolutely no credibility whatsoever as a scientific commentator. Just as in a court of law you have to present your case with clean hands, in science you have to present your case with a clean name. Fail to do so and you can kiss your credibility goodbye without appeal. That guy not only fails, he gets a generous F mark. He literally is a lobbyist for the tabacco, chemical and oil industries. Hmm, I wonder where his loyalty lies...
*EDIT* The source of an information is as important as the information itself.

*Metathiax kicks the ball back to Fiffergrund*
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Post by Metathiax »

Quote:
You need to pay attention to more 'great flood' theories then. ^_^Part of the theorm was, due to massive ice build up during one of the last ice ages, the weight caused the planet to tilt.

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Post by Metathiax »

DangerDwarf wrote:
On a related, but unrelated note...

Ever notice how every summer, when watching the news, they can't stop talking about "The Record Breaking Heat"?

It breaks records EVERY year.

When I came to Texas in '94 it was about 101-102 here that summer...and it was Record Breaking. Since then, every summer we have the news channels going on about "The Record Breaking Heat".

So, if it was 101 in 94, and every year for the past 12 years broke the previous year's record.....I suppose I'm in for summer temps of at least 114.

Nah, it'll probably be the same 101-102 just like it is every year.

Ah well.

Also on a side note, I can see why you guys down in the states are so jaded with your tv news which are always so damn alarmist. It's often more of a show than journalistic work. The only thing missing is a little permanent counter to Armageddon up in a corner of the screen. It's no wonder you don't trust anything they report anymore...
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Post by Zudrak »

Metathiax wrote:
Also on a side note, I can see why you guys down in the states are so jaded with your tv news which are always so damn alarmist. It's often more of a show than journalistic work. The only thing missing is a little permanent counter to Armageddon up in a corner of the screen. It's no wonder you don't trust anything they report anymore...

Local news is also now 25 minutes of sports and weather and 5 minutes of news. Now that winter is here, the riding crop is used to whip the populace into a frenzy about the icy mix and snow we are getting.

When I worked at a supermarket, I swore Acme Markets, Superfresh, and the like paid the news stations in order to drum up sales on milk, bread, and other items people would need because they were going to be under 276 feet of snow.
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Post by Fiffergrund »

Quote:
A slant right!? Talk about an understatement. I just can't believe your media controling agencies who are scandalized by the slightless things allow such antijournalists to keep their shows on the air. Talk about journalistic ethics...

Hey, if they can allow Dan Rather to keep working, if they can allow the NYT to continue publishing their commentary passed off as news, then surely freedom of speech can allow some right-leaning commentary. Unless, of course, free speech only applies to opinions that lefties agree with.
Quote:
My main gripe doesn't lie with Fox News though, the guy who runs junkscience.com, Steven Milloy, (I feel dirty just by writing his name again) has absolutely no credibility whatsoever as a scientific commentator. Just as in a court of law you have to present your case with clean hands, in science you have to present your case with a clean name. Fail to do so and you can kiss your credibility goodbye without appeal. That guy not only fails, he gets a generous F mark. He literally is a lobbyist for the tabacco, chemical and oil industries. Hmm, I wonder where his loyalty lies...
*EDIT* The source of an information is as important as the information itself.

*Metathiax kicks the ball back to Fiffergrund*

Where are the sources for the allegations that he's a lobbyist? And, if he *is* a lobbyist for those industries, does that automatically invalidate his sourced and well-reasoned arguments any more than it would for paid advocates of Greenpeace?

If his arguments came from a completely different source, would they have substance? My suspicion is that the content of his findings would make him a pariah to anyone finding them inconvenient for their use in the environmental debate arena.

Yes, sources do matter. On the other hand, there are truths that cannot simply be invalidated because they come from someone that isn't liked. I'm sorry you feel dirty typing the guy's name, but quite frankly, that's not a basis for a rational argument against his findings.

In short, he's not offering opinions. He's offering facts. What about them?
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Post by Zudrak »

Fiffergrund wrote:
Hey, if they can allow Dan Rather to keep working, if they can allow the NYT to continue publishing their commentary passed off as news, then surely freedom of speech can allow some right-leaning commentary. Unless, of course, free speech only applies to opinions that lefties agree with.



Where are the sources for the allegations that he's a lobbyist? And, if he *is* a lobbyist for those industries, does that automatically invalidate his sourced and well-reasoned arguments any more than it would for paid advocates of Greenpeace?

If his arguments came from a completely different source, would they have substance? My suspicion is that the content of his findings would make him a pariah to anyone finding them inconvenient for their use in the environmental debate arena.

Yes, sources do matter. On the other hand, there are truths that cannot simply be invalidated because they come from someone that isn't liked. I'm sorry you feel dirty typing the guy's name, but quite frankly, that's not a basis for a rational argument against his findings.

In short, he's not offering opinions. He's offering facts. What about them?

A huge problem in this debate (and most political debates nowadays) is that no one goes into it thinking that they could be wrong. There's no humility. Instead of searching for an answer, people want the facts to suit their prejudice. It's sickening.

As long as Al Gore is the face of the Global Warming initiative, I will oppose it. Dennis Miller said it best last night on The Tonight Show regarding Gore: "I've never seen a guy more uncomfortable in his own skin." I searched youtube for video from the show, but there is none at this time.
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-- E. Gary Gygax
Psalm 73:26

"Knowledge, logic, reason, and common sense serve better than a dozen rule books."

"Rules not understood should have appropriate questions directed to the publisher; disputes with the Dungeon Master are another matter entirely. THE REFEREE IS THE FINAL ARBITER OF ALL AFFAIRS OF HIS OR HER CAMPAIGN."
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Post by Breakdaddy »

Zudrak wrote:
A huge problem in this debate (and most political debates nowadays) is that no one goes into it thinking that they could be wrong. There's no humility. Instead of searching for an answer, people want the facts to suit their prejudice. It's sickening.

As long as Al Gore is the face of the Global Warming initiative, I will oppose it. Dennis Miller said it best last night on The Tonight Show regarding Gore: "I've never seen a guy more uncomfortable in his own skin." I searched youtube for video from the show, but there is none at this time.

I agree with your statement pertaining to the lack of humility on both sides. Everyone wants to be right, and many are blinded to facts presented that are contrary to their world view. On Al Gore: has he found the elusive manbearpig yet?
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Post by Orpheus »

Zudrak wrote:
As long as Al Gore is the face of the Global Warming initiative, I will oppose it. Dennis Miller said it best last night on The Tonight Show regarding Gore: "I've never seen a guy more uncomfortable in his own skin." I searched youtube for video from the show, but there is none at this time.

I saw a debate "live from the Apollo Theater one time between him and Bill Bradley (it was in the run-up to the primaries; '99 I believe). See if you can find that! That man is a social chameleon. Check that out and then some of the hearing he lead on "decency in music" and you'll get a good idea of his true personality. Hillary's the same way...and must be stopped! Run Rudy Run!

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Post by Metathiax »

Quote:
then surely freedom of speech can allow some right-leaning commentary. Unless, of course, free speech only applies to opinions that lefties agree with.

These guys are certainly free to use their freedom of speech as any citizen but they are supposed to be held to higher standards of neutrality as the journalists that they claim to be :
Quote:
According to The Elements of Journalism by Bill Kovach and Tom Rosensteil, there are nine elements of journalism. In order for a journalist to fulfill their duty of providing the people with the information they need to be free and self-governing, they must follow these guidelines.

Journalism's first obligation is to the truth.

Its first loyalty is to the citizens.

Its essence is discipline of verification.

Its practitioners must maintain an independence from those they cover.

It must serve as an independent monitor of power.

It must provide a forum for public criticism and compromise.

It must strive to make the significant interesting and relevant.

It must keep the news comprehensive and proportional.

Its practitioners must be allowed to exercise their personal conscience.

Since the development of professional journalism at the beginning of the 20th Century, journalists have been expected to follow a stringent code of journalistic conduct that requires them to, among other things:

Use original sources of information, including interviews with people directly involved in a story, original documents and other direct sources of information, whenever possible, and cite the sources of this information in reports;

For more information on using sources, see Journalism sourcing.

Fully attribute information gathered from other published sources, should original sources not be available (to not do so is considered plagiarism; some newspapers also note when an article uses information from previous reports);

Use multiple original sources of information, especially if the subject of the report is controversial;

Check every fact reported;

Find and report every side of a story possible;

Report without bias, illustrating many aspects of a conflict rather than siding with one;

Approach researching and reporting a story with a balance between objectivity and skepticism.

Use careful judgment when organizing and reporting information.

Be careful about granting confidentiality to sources (news organizations usually have specific rules that journalists must follow concerning grants of confidentiality);

Decline gifts or favors from any subject of a report, and avoid even the appearance of being influenced;

Abstain from reporting or otherwise participating in the research and writing about a subject in which the journalist has a personal stake or bias that cannot be set aside.

This was in stark contrast to the media climate prior to the 20th Century, where the media market was dominated by smaller newspapers and pamphleteers who usually had an overt and often radical agenda, with no presumpton of balance or objectivity. E.g., see (1).

They fail to uphold this code in many regards...
Quote:
Where are the sources for the allegations that he's a lobbyist?

There you go :
Quote:
The guidebook Washington Representatives described Milloy as a registered lobbyist employed by the EOP Group in 1996.[21] Milloy is also listed as a lobbyist in the federal United States Senate Lobby Filing Disclosure Program.[15] The non-partisan Center for Responsive Politics also lists Milloy as a registered lobbyist from 1998 through 2000, with clients including the American Petroleum Institute, Dow Chemical, the International Food Additives Council, and FMC Corporation.[16]

Milloy has denied ever working as a lobbyist, writing in an email in 1998:

I do not lobby for ANYONE. Before I became executive director of TASSC, I did some technical consulting for a D.C. firm which had the policy of registering all its employees and consultants as lobbyists (whether or not they lobbied) pursuant to a new law passed in 1995. I am aware of the listing and have asked it to be corrected since I no longer work for that firm.[22]

However, as of October 2006, Milloy remains listed as a registered lobbyist in the above federal and non-governmental databases.
Quote:
And, if he *is* a lobbyist for those industries, does that automatically invalidate his sourced and well-reasoned arguments any more than it would for paid advocates of Greenpeace?

Depends largely on the sources and their methodologies, interests and contributors. Paid advocates of Greenpeace should be held to the same level of suspicion for they may well have personal interests in influencing the reporting and interpretation of their finds...
Quote:
If his arguments came from a completely different source, would they have substance? My suspicion is that the content of his findings would make him a pariah to anyone finding them inconvenient for their use in the environmental debate arena.

Yes, sources do matter. On the other hand, there are truths that cannot simply be invalidated because they come from someone that isn't liked. I'm sorry you feel dirty typing the guy's name, but quite frankly, that's not a basis for a rational argument against his findings.

In short, he's not offering opinions. He's offering facts. What about them?

I would consider listening to this guy's sources (if they can reasonably demonstrate their independence and transparency) but to the guy himself? Absolutely not. This guy is intentionally working towards the misinformation of the public with corporate money for his own personal gain and should therefore be blacklisted. I would also add that I personally am disgusted by these kind of activities...
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Post by Metathiax »

Quote:
A huge problem in this debate (and most political debates nowadays) is that no one goes into it thinking that they could be wrong. There's no humility. Instead of searching for an answer, people want the facts to suit their prejudice. It's sickening.

I genuinely would be glad if you could point out the excerpts where you think I lacked humility or was prejudiced. I wouldn't want to fall in neither of those traps...
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Post by Fiffergrund »

The problem I'm having with your argument is that I've yet to see proof he's misinformed the public.
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Post by Metathiax »

Fiff, as much as this was interesting, I think I am going to stop it there. If tabloid grade statements of a known lobbyist on the payroll of companies that have obvious interests in the fields that are commentated by those same statements won't convince you, what will? I am no preacher, so follow your conscience and believe whoever/whatever you want. I know I will. Peace! 8)
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Post by Zudrak »

Metathiax wrote:
I genuinely would be glad if you could point the excerpts where you think I lacked humility or was prejudiced. I wouldn't want to fall in neither of those traps...

1) I am not going through 8(!) pages to find any, as I recall none. However, dismissing Fox News as biased while (edit:) tacitly exonerating the other networks of any bias is dubious. GE (NBC), Westinghouse (CBS), and Disney (ABC) all have their agendas, too. I highly doubt their interests will ever align with mine.
http://la.indymedia.org/news/2003/04/47530.php

2) My blanket statement is more about the public figures involved in the debate than the posters here. The posters here are not cantankerous like their bellowing counterparts in the public eye. I haven't had a problem with any C&C poster. We can agree to disagree and still roll the dice. That's what I like most about the C&C community. It's all good (or at least civil).
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Post by Metathiax »

Quote:
tacitly exonerating the other networks of any bias is dubious. GE (NBC), Westinghouse (CBS), and Disney (ABC) all have their agendas, too. I highly doubt their interests will ever align with mine.

I certainly wouldn't exonerate the other networks of any bias especially since, as a Canadian, I am not exposed to as much american tv as you guys down south. If I were to listen to some of those other networks more often, I would maybe find them as biased as Fox which is nonetheless (in)famous for many of their heavily polarizing shows and casts...
Very interesting/depressing link!
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Post by Zudrak »

Metathiax wrote:
I certainly wouldn't exonerate the other networks of any bias especially since, as a Canadian, I am not exposed to as much american tv as you guys down south. If I were to listen to some of those other networks more often, I would maybe find them as biased as Fox which is nonetheless (in)famous for many of their heavily polarizing shows and casts...
Very interesting/depressing link!

As an active rec league hockey player who's visited your country three times, I have to say I am envious of the relative laid-back nature of your nation. That and you're able to skate almost anywhere this time of year. I hope to visit Toronto once more this coming summer (if we win our championship, we go to the Toronto tournament).

Going off-topic here...

That said, the billboards up there last summer promoting reading were hilarious. I believe they said something to the effect of "Don't be dumb. Get smarter through reading." On the right side of each billboard was a picture of GWB. Funny.
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-- E. Gary Gygax
Psalm 73:26

"Knowledge, logic, reason, and common sense serve better than a dozen rule books."

"Rules not understood should have appropriate questions directed to the publisher; disputes with the Dungeon Master are another matter entirely. THE REFEREE IS THE FINAL ARBITER OF ALL AFFAIRS OF HIS OR HER CAMPAIGN."
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Post by Metathiax »

Quote:
As an active rec league hockey player

Devils fan? I so, both our teams are hitting the ice tonight against each other. Damn Brodeur...
*EDIT* Oh boy, I sure suck in american geography. I've just checked a map to find out that National Park (NJ) is actually closer to Philadelphia than New Jersey. So make that the Flyers instead...
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Metathiax wrote:
Devils fan? I so, both our teams are hitting the ice tonight against each other. Damn Brodeur...

Heaven forfend!!! I am a Flyers fan (what a great season we're having, eh?). So, tonight, GO HABS!!! I was in Montreal for a Flyers game in January 2002. What a great arena the Bell Centre is and what great fans there are in Montreal. We had a blast.

The Devils are the 3rd (possibly 4th) most popular team in NJ. The Rangers are first (due to the population of North Jersey), the Flyers are second (due to the population of South Jersey), and the Devils and Islanders fight for the third position. Most New Jerseyans wouldn't care if the Devils left the state, especially since a lot of our money has been used to keep them here and build their new arena (which will remain unfilled, but will make money due to corporates).

Ack. I fear I'm threadjacking...
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-- E. Gary Gygax
Psalm 73:26

"Knowledge, logic, reason, and common sense serve better than a dozen rule books."

"Rules not understood should have appropriate questions directed to the publisher; disputes with the Dungeon Master are another matter entirely. THE REFEREE IS THE FINAL ARBITER OF ALL AFFAIRS OF HIS OR HER CAMPAIGN."
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Post by Metathiax »

Quote:
Heaven forfend!!! I am a Flyers fan (what a great season we're having, eh?).

Yeah, if only Forsberg could play more than 3 games in a row without being injured. This guy is like Glassman from the movie Unbreakable...
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Post by Zudrak »

Metathiax wrote:
*EDIT* Oh boy, I sure suck in american geography. I've just checked a map to find out that National Park (NJ) is actually closer to Philadelphia than New Jersey. So make that the Flyers instead...

No problem, my town is so small that people who live within 15 miles don't know where it is!
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Post by Zudrak »

Metathiax wrote:
Yeah, if only Forsberg could play more than 3 games in a row without being injured. This guy is like Glassman from the movie Unbreakable...

I agree. I hope he stays just so we can have some credibility and sign Drury, Gomez, or Briere this summer. That's a nice 1-2 punch down the middle. Then, we just need Michael Leighton to keep playing like he has the last 2 games.
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AD&D, Amish Dungeons & Dragons.

"Galstaff, ye are in a cornfield, when a moustachioed man approaches. What say ye?"

"I shun him."

-----

"Knowledge, logic, reason, and common sense serve better than a dozen rule books."

-- E. Gary Gygax
Psalm 73:26

"Knowledge, logic, reason, and common sense serve better than a dozen rule books."

"Rules not understood should have appropriate questions directed to the publisher; disputes with the Dungeon Master are another matter entirely. THE REFEREE IS THE FINAL ARBITER OF ALL AFFAIRS OF HIS OR HER CAMPAIGN."
-- E. Gary Gygax

Metathiax
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Post by Metathiax »

Quote:
What a great arena the Bell Centre is and what great fans there are in Montreal.

As you know, Montrealers are avid hockey fans. The Habs sold out all of their (expensive) season tickets in 48 hours last september. I get to go see a game about once or twice every season anyways...
I think that the Flyers would be better off to continue sucking just enough to get that 1st draft pick next year and trade Glassman for other 1st-2nd draft picks of a team that is competing for this year's playoffs. Start over with youngsters much like Pittsburgh did... Unfortunately for us, the Habs never suck enough to get good draft picks but aren't good enough to win the cup.
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Zudrak
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Post by Zudrak »

*cough*

Back on topic, I offer the below sent from Col. Pladoh himself via email:
Quote:
I STRONGLY suggest that you read the speech at the web address below.

Mr. Crichton argues that ETs cause global warming; he has convinced me!

This is not a joke. I will not explain his thesis more, but I urge you to go to the web address and read it.
http://www.crichton-official.com/speech ... ote04.html
_________________
AD&D, Amish Dungeons & Dragons.

"Galstaff, ye are in a cornfield, when a moustachioed man approaches. What say ye?"

"I shun him."

-----

"Knowledge, logic, reason, and common sense serve better than a dozen rule books."

-- E. Gary Gygax
Psalm 73:26

"Knowledge, logic, reason, and common sense serve better than a dozen rule books."

"Rules not understood should have appropriate questions directed to the publisher; disputes with the Dungeon Master are another matter entirely. THE REFEREE IS THE FINAL ARBITER OF ALL AFFAIRS OF HIS OR HER CAMPAIGN."
-- E. Gary Gygax

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Post by Fiffergrund »

Zudrak wrote:
*cough*

Back on topic, I offer the below sent from Col. Pladoh himself via email:

http://www.crichton-official.com/speech ... ote04.html

Bravo. Thank you for posting this.
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Post by Metathiax »

I do agree with Crichton's conclusions on the current state of science (as much as it hurts...). I would like to precise that, although he didn't specify this in his text (or I just didn't get the part where he does), he apparently also thinks that the Earth is warming for some still unknown reasons. I feel that it would be an important point to clarify in regards to this discussion.

Quoted from his own site :
Quote:
Crichton's 2004 bestseller, State of Fear, acknowledged the world was growing warmer, but challenged extreme anthropogenic warming scenarios. He predicted future warming at 0.8 degrees C. (His conclusions have been widely misstated.)

One of the things that saddens me though, is that he makes it sound as if anything which is associated with a high degree of uncertainty is just not worth studying at all... Would the world be better off if scientists focused their efforts solely on technological endeavors and left "the big picture" in the hands of fate and/or politicians?
Quote:
Quote:

I'm still a young idealist. Maybe with time, I'll also join the ranks of the jaded who have thrown the towel on such "trivial" matters such as the destruction of our environment...

Nice! Call me when you do, it'll be a party

Hmmm, Breakdaddy, what does that party of yours involve? I might be closer to not caring anymore than even I might have thought...
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Post by Dristram »

Quote:
I STRONGLY suggest that you read the speech at the web address below.

Mr. Crichton argues that ETs cause global warming; he has convinced me!

This is not a joke. I will not explain his thesis more, but I urge you to go to the web address and read it.
Beautiful. Personally I've started my issue with science and scientists since I learned in the 1950s it was "scientifically proven" that smoking helped with digestion and everyone should smoke after every meal.
Scientists are smart, but I think many of them forget that not only scientists are smart.

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